Kinderarts
35AI USED FOR35%moving to77%
THE DOOR, NOWB
THE DOOR, 20 YRSD
STARTING PAY€50.000
REGULATORY MOATThe law requires human oversight. That human could be you.
CAREERMASH (NL)FROM MEDICINE AND DENTISTRY →
Kinderarts
De carrière als kinderarts in Nederland is zowel lonend als cruciaal voor de samenleving. Kinderartsen richten zich op het waarborgen van de gezondheid en het welzijn van kinderen en jongeren, wat hen een belangrijke schakel in het zorgteam maakt. De vraag naar gekwalificeerde kinderartsen neemt toe in Nederland, wat deze carrière zowel aantrekkelijk als toekomstgericht maakt.
This job holds up well against AI
AI is used for very little of what this job actually involves today, and the law requires human oversight. That human could be you. That is about as safe as careers get right now, though it is still worth learning to use the tools well.
How this job changes over time
Our best estimates, shown as ranges and grades, not exact predictions.
| WHAT CHANGES | Now | 5 yrs | 10 yrs | 20 yrs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tasks AI is used for | 35% | 50% | 65% | 77% |
| Number of jobs | 98-105% | 90-100% | 80-95% | 60-85% |
| How hard to get in | B - achievable | C - hard | C - hard | D - very hard |
| Job security | Strong | Strong | Holding | Law's call |
Right now, AI is already used for about 35% of the day-to-day work in this job, and by 20 years from now that could be around 77%. There are likely to be fewer of these jobs over time, very roughly 60-85% of the 2024 number, 20 years out. Getting your first job here is fairly easy today, and it looks set to get harder. The law requires human oversight. That human could be you.
What happens, and when
WITHIN 5 yrs
Strong
At this horizon the model has AI used for about 50% of this job's day-to-day work, and the number of these roles is projected at roughly 90-100% of the 2024 total. Getting in is graded C - hard, and job security here is rated Strong.
WITHIN 10 yrs
Holding
At this horizon the model has AI used for about 65% of this job's day-to-day work, and the number of these roles is projected at roughly 80-95% of the 2024 total. Getting in is graded C - hard, and job security here is rated Holding.
WITHIN 20 yrs
Law's call
At this horizon the model has AI used for about 77% of this job's day-to-day work, and the number of these roles is projected at roughly 60-85% of the 2024 total. Getting in is graded D - very hard, and job security here is rated Law's call.
The honest bottom line: AI will keep taking on more of the routine output here, but the law requires human oversight. That human could be you. That is what keeps this job valuable once the easy work moves to software. Get fluent with the tools, and make sure you are the one holding the part that cannot be automated away.
How to aim for this career
1
Head for the licence
A professional qualification or registration is the real protection here. Find out which body governs this career and start working towards what it requires.
2
Get comfortable being accountable
Practise explaining decisions clearly and owning the outcome. Being the person who signs off is the actual job.
3
Use AI as a second opinion
AI can draft and check work, but someone has to be legally responsible for it. Build the judgement to catch what it gets wrong.
Careers that use similar skills, and hold
Worth a look if you like the sound of this path. Each one has something this job does not: a moat.
Psychiater6AI EXPOSURE · DOOR B - achievable NOW, C - hard IN 20 YRSGynaecologists and obstetricians6AI EXPOSURE · DOOR B - achievable NOW, C - hard IN 20 YRSParodontoloog6AI EXPOSURE · DOOR B - achievable NOW, C - hard IN 20 YRS
Sources: exposure figures from Anthropic labour market research (2026), observed real-world AI usage by occupation. Job-security forecast from OpenAI, "The AI Jobs Transition Framework" (Richmond, 2026, OpenAI Economic Research), CC BY 4.0. Grades and verdicts are Careermash editorial judgment: we show forecasts as forecasts and own our conclusions.